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Sep 17, 2015

Will the Fed raise?  If so, what happens?  Who are the winners and who are the losers? Deutsche Bank performed in depth research analyzing the history of Fed rate hikes and the consequences going back fifty years.   Here’s a preview:  over the past 35 years the market is most often up sharply—about 14 percent—heading into the rate hike, fairly flat in the 250 days after (average gain of 2.6 percent) then back to normal once 500 days have passed.  Steve and Sinclair review the many reasons why this time "is different"  according to Deutsche Bank. In the Q & A the A Team reviews a Gallup/Wells Fargo poll of investors--44% say they will "make a change" if the Fed raises. Also, 8 stocks one trader says to avoid, and record outflows at Franklin Templeton.